Understanding Public Perceptions on the Market with Technical Analysis | Part 1
A number of Nobel Prize winning theories start with the assumption that investors are rational. In the real world, many investment professionals discover through their daily interactions with investors that there are occasional bouts of irrationality. In discussing the markets with the public, it’s important to understand this since questions and firmly held beliefs could be rooted in that irrational behavior. Rational investors most likely only exist in Modern Portfolio Theory. The argument makes sense intuitively. Investors will buy the portfolio that maximizes the potential returns while minimizing their personal preference for risk. But in the rule world, emotions like far and greed, infiltrate the decision making process. Potential returns are generally defined by discounting the future cash flows of an investment back to its present value. In theory, some investments will be undervalued and these should be bought. Others will be overvalued and would be avoided, or sold short...